Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.649157 12.437869 14.388668 16.668207 19.252466 22.084754 25.417140
2025-11-23 7.246669 9.575403 12.384844 15.994499 20.476806 25.825127 32.651329
2025-11-30 5.782908 8.418113 11.854820 16.596804 22.891107 30.871672 41.653564
2025-12-07 4.817017 7.612859 11.504825 17.198391 25.171692 35.777130 50.752010
2025-12-14 3.849249 6.576069 10.610815 16.839004 25.993237 38.699209 57.348476
2025-12-21 3.093475 5.689860 9.757620 16.355256 26.487224 41.096126 63.284919
2025-12-28 2.771393 5.423820 9.781661 17.142146 28.853384 46.260790 73.425290
2026-01-04 2.464862 5.121675 9.689549 17.705438 30.887850 51.039631 83.275069
2026-01-11 2.126318 4.696271 9.321982 17.754459 32.080590 54.588543 91.466059
2026-01-18 1.841641 4.316927 8.973756 17.776871 33.198711 58.055890 99.697446
2026-01-25 1.547349 3.860304 8.415901 17.353832 33.506146 60.217864 105.968076
2026-02-01 1.313210 3.482214 7.948291 17.027895 33.926238 62.553335 112.606365
2026-02-08 1.090603 3.098326 7.442725 16.628659 34.283158 64.981638 119.860057
2026-02-15 0.875004 2.682457 6.811099 15.917468 34.027320 66.394741 125.613800
2026-02-22 0.792797 2.578206 6.829247 16.510116 36.261324 72.289768 139.343747
2026-03-01 0.720721 2.483066 6.851124 17.107681 38.547813 78.416332 153.816214
2026-03-08 0.601820 2.225926 6.452761 16.749699 38.905718 81.052456 162.276484
2026-03-15 0.496401 1.976581 6.026752 16.268128 38.953000 83.092517 169.755867
2026-03-22 0.464208 1.947137 6.149144 17.051407 41.684067 90.355602 187.127699
2026-03-29 0.425399 1.885372 6.176656 17.612133 43.983626 96.918430 203.528788
2026-04-05 0.371901 1.756734 6.001471 17.660931 45.175058 101.385260 216.224071
2026-04-12 0.324712 1.635655 5.825436 17.683241 46.302956 105.782542 228.996027
2026-04-19 0.271355 1.471455 5.492931 17.262127 46.387796 108.074789 237.820279